Thursday, December 18, 2008

NGO Harps on Poverty Reduction Through Micro-Credit

Growing Businesses Foundation (GBF) will contribute to fight towards alleviation of poverty in Nigeria by providing credit access to small scale entrepreneurs.

Vanguard

Michael Eboh

Published: December 8, 2008

A non profit Governmental Organisation (NGO), Growing Businesses Foundation (GBF) has announced its decision to contribute to the Federal Government's fight towards the alleviation of poverty in Nigeria, by providing access to micro credit facilities at the grass roots and to small scale entrepreneurs. Speaking during a micro credit roundtable conference in Lagos, the President/Founder of the NGO, Mrs. Ndidi Edozien disclosed that the major factor militating against the growth of the Nigerian economy is the inaccessibility to funds and lack of support for growing businesses.

She said, "If Nigeria is to grow, a lot of effort should be directed towards developing the grassroots populace, towards developing the rural areas and providing access to funds for small businesses. It is impossible to build a mega city unless we develop the rural areas. Development apart from rural and agricultural development is not tenable and unachievable. The global food and financial crisis is an attestation to that fact."

She disclosed that the over 70 per cent of the country's population that are involved in agriculture do not have access to micro credit facilities, adding that this has hindered the growth of the country's agricultural sector and contributed in further impoverishing a vast majority of Nigerians. She lamented the fact that the micro finance institutions in the country lacks the requisite capacity to meet the financial needs of the people and that majority of the commercial banks in the country have refused to provide support for the agricultural, real sector and the small businesses in the economy.

According to her, "The entrepreneur has all it takes and can make a significant difference to Nigeria's economic development. Microfinance brings the power of credit to the grass roots by way of loans to the poor, without the requirement of collateral or previous credit record Experience has shown that microfinance can help the poor to increase income, build viable businesses and reduce their vulnerability to external shocks."

She disclosed that at GBF, they have worked assiduously to enhance credit infrastructure across the country, ensuring that people get access to finance, especially women and youth.

Edozien further stated that in conjunction with its other partners, it has worked to support businesses with prospects for growth and helped in repositioning microfinance institutions in the country, making them responsive and beneficial to the people of Nigeria.

"GBF uses a portfolio of financial products services and strengthening a network of relations to develop socially responsible business programs for micro, small and medium scale entrepreneurs (MSMEs). The last nine years have seen us improve on our methodology, vigorously pursuing both best practices and local development content to achieve our vision of sustainable economic development led by socially responsible businesses," she added.

She allayed the fears of financial institutions, concerning the credit-worthiness of small scale entrepreneurs in the country, adding that from its activities in the past, it has discovered that entrepreneurs in Nigeria are credit-worthy and would not renege on the payment of loans given them.

She added that it intends to establish investment vehicles that are designed to attract long term funds that will assist it in its drive towards providing financing for small businesses and also empower small businesses to operate profitably among others.

http://allafrica.com/stories/200812080538.html

Friday, December 12, 2008

Future of Microfinance in the Middle East Promising

The UAE Ministry of Economy is launching a new strategy to help support and finance micro and small businesses.

Zawya Investor

Shveta Pathak

Published: December 1st 2008

Low risk, good returns and a low volatility would drive growth of micro finance as an asset category in the region amid the ongoing financial crisis.

Being more "closely" related to the "real economy", micro finance holds the advantage of managing the challenges that the current situation offers better, Jack Lowe, President, BlueOrchard United States, told Emirates Business.

This region, where micro finance has a penetration of less than 10 per cent so far, holds tremendous potential. As Arab investors get to tap into micro finance, it would result in more MFIs in this region reach out to small borrowers and help in building wealth and alleviating poverty, said Lowe.

"For investors in this region, investing in micro finance provides an opportunity to earn returns and contribute their bit to the society at the same time. Micro finance is on its way to become a true asset class," added Lowe.

More than 100 investors, leading financial experts and representatives from investment-ready Arab microfinance institutions (MFIs,) got together at the First Arab Microfinance Investment Symposium.

The UAE Ministry of Economy has been assigned the task of launching a strategy to develop a programme to support and finance micro and small businesses to be set up in the UAE, said symposium organiser Grameen-Jameel, the first social business in the Arab World.

The task, that has been assigned by the Cabinet and is to be executed in co-operation with the Central BankCentral Bank, aims to improve the livelihood of many Emirati families across the country with a focus on supporting women, youth, and pensioners who are eager to improve their economic and social environment, it said.

A meeting took place last week among officials from the UAE Ministry of Economy and the Central BankCentral Bank and Grameen-Jameel to explore co-operation possibilities.

The meeting highlighted the importance of a number of issues to tackle, focusing on applicable structures suitable to the UAE Government, licensing and regulatory issues, and educational programmes.

In addressing all those issues, a suggestion to organise a national market study has been favoured by those attending the meeting.

"We want to extend our reach to as many new places as possible. We are active in 42 countries and this region is diverse and we see a great potential here," said Lowe, adding: "business-oriented" approach of MFIs enabled them to stay profitable.

As a lender to perform in the micro finance skills like money raising, analytical and investment talent, market intelligence and prospecting and skills to run a far flung geographic spread of institutions were needed, he said.

Heather Henyon, General Manager, Grameen-Jameel said: "The size of micro finance market at the end of 2007 was $5.3 billion (Dh19.4bn) but only four per cent of the demand was met.

"This leaves a potential of an untapped market of 96 per cent," she added.

Quoting a study by CGAP, Henyon said more than $800m of financing had been raised in the Arab region, 50 per cent of which was from commercial bank lenders.

http://www.zawya.com/story.cfm/sidZAWYA20081201053927/%27Future%20Of%20Micro%20FinancF%20In%20Mideast%20Promising%27?cc

India Needs Game-Changers in Microfinance

Former President of Women's World Banking notes need for financial intermediaries for the poor, not just lenders.

Business Today

Nancy Barry

Published: November 26, 2008


Nancy Barry is the ex-head of the world Bank’s Global Industry Development Group and former President of Women’s World Banking. Over the last two years, Barry has built Enterprise Solutions to Poverty (ESP), which engages industry leaders and entrepreneurs in building inclusive growth strategies, both in India and other emerging markets. Forbes magazine has recognised her as one of the world’s most powerful women and U.S. News & World Report has dubbed her as one of America’s top 20 leaders. Here, Nancy shares her concerns about the evolution of the microfinance industry in India:

The outreach that the Indian microfinance industry has achieved, through both the microfinance institutions (MFIs) and the Bank-Self Help Group (Bank-SHG) linkage model over the last 10 years, is impressive. Today, over 50 million poor women have access to very small loans. I believe this is the main accomplishment of the Indian microfinance sector over the last 10 years.

However, there are issues that underly this accomplishment. First, both India and Bangladesh have problems rooted in the near exclusive reliance on group lending. The structures built are yielding tiny loans to millions of poor women and are not being leveraged to provide other financial products that build income and assets.

Group lending is very powerful as a “startup” product, particularly for poor women, because it has built into it an empowerment component, a community component and a social component. The problem is that the SHG and Grameen-type group lending models have been used only to make very small loans. These groups involving 50 million poor women in India are organs that could be used to provide vital savings services, insurance services and housing finance. None of this has been done. The focus on microcredit—not microfinance— has been a very limited, superficial use of national grassroots outreach structures.

Today, most Indian microfinance institutions are becoming loan dispensers, rather than financial intermediaries for the poor. Part of the problem lies with the group lending model in which group organisers are not comfortable making growth oriented loans or providing a range of savings, insurance and other financial products. Part of the problem also rests with the NBFC legal structure that many microfinance institutions have chosen, which does not enable MFIs to mobilise broad-based savings as a service or as a source of funds.

As a result, MFIs have relied increasingly on foreign equity sources to fuel growth. Most of the foreign equity sources have no interest or capabilities in supporting MFIs in diversifying their product offerings to poor clients; rather, these sources increase the pressure on MFIs to make shortterm profits by focussing on dispensing more small loans. So, group lending business models keep the loans small, and legislation, MFI capabilities and the short-term profit push keep the focus on microcredit.

Also, some of the leading MFIs have moved the focus on building livelihoods to a mentality of a consumer lender, asking how much of the poor family’s purse or wallet they can gain by providing loans and consumer goods. What India needs are some game changers in microfinance, not more or bigger loan dispensers, fuelled by external funding. These game changers will learn from SEWA Bank and BASIX and scale up some of the positive lessons of these grounded organisations.

Enterprise Solutions to Poverty has engaged leading companies in India—including Tata, Reliance, ITC and Mahindra—as well as some emerging entrepreneurs— such as FabIndia, ICICI Foundation and SELCO. These companies are paving the way in mobilising large numbers of poor people as suppliers, distributors and consumers of asset building products. ESP has mobilised over 150 of the leading companies and emerging entrepreneurs of India, China, Mexico, Colombia, and most recently, in Brazil and Kenya. We are supporting these companies in building profitable and inclusive growth strategies geared to doubling the income and assets of over 50 million poor people by 2012.

http://businesstoday.digitaltoday.in/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&issueid=44&id=8867&sectionid=5&Itemid=1

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Dire Forecast for Global Economy and Trade

World Bank data indicates decreased flow of capital to developing countries, constricting investment.

The New York Times

Mark Landler

Published: December 9, 2008

WASHINGTON — The world economy is on the brink of a rare global recession, the World Bank said in a forecast released Tuesday, with world trade projected to fall next year for the first time since 1982 and capital flows to developing countries predicted to plunge 50 percent.

The projections are among the most dire in a litany of recent gloomy forecasts for the world economy, and officials at the World Bank warned that if they proved accurate, the downturn could throw many developing countries into crisis and keep tens of millions of people in poverty.

Even more troubling, several economists said, there is no obvious engine to drive a recovery.

American consumers are unlikely to return to their old spending habits, even after the United States climbs out of its current financial crisis. With growth in China slowing sharply, consumers there are not about to pick up the slack from the Americans. The collapse in oil prices — a side effect of the crisis — has knocked the wind out of consumers in oil-exporting countries.

“We know that the financial crisis now is likely to be the worst since the 1930s,” said Justin Lin, the chief economist of the World Bank, summarizing the projections.

The bank forecasts the global economy will eke out growth of 0.9 percent in 2009, down from 2.5 percent this year and 4 percent in 2006. That is the slowest pace since 1982, when global growth was 0.3 percent. Developing countries will grow an average of 4.5 percent next year — a pace that economists said constituted a recession, given the need of these countries to grow rapidly to generate enough jobs for their swelling populations.

“You don’t need negative growth in developing countries to have a situation that feels like a recession,” said Hans Timmer, who directs the bank’s international economic analyses and projections. He predicted rising joblessness and closed factories in many developing countries.

The volume of world trade, which grew 9.8 percent in 2006 and an estimated 6.2 percent this year, will contract by 2.1 percent in 2009, the report said. That drop would be deeper than the last major contraction in trade: 1.9 percent in 1975.

Net private flows of capital to developing countries are projected to decline to $530 billion in 2009, from $1 trillion in 2007.

The loss of that capital will sharply constrict investment in emerging-market economies, the report said, with annual investment growth slowing to 3.5 percent in 2009 from 13.2 percent in 2007.

Several countries are also being hurt by the decline in the prices of oil and other commodities — a phenomenon the World Bank characterizes as the end of a five-year commodities boom — though the decline in food and fuel costs has relieved the pressure on people in other countries.

The sudden drop in capital flows poses a particular danger to oil exporters, some of whom have run up heavy debts.

“They’ll have to roll over that debt, one way or the other,” said Simon Johnson, a former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund. “That’s going to put a huge squeeze on these countries.”

Mr. Johnson said the calmer atmosphere in foreign markets belied the gravity of the situation. Spreads on credit default swaps — a common yardstick for whether a country’s government is in danger of default — continue to signal potential trouble for Ireland, Italy and Greece.

The authorities in Greece are battling violent street protests in Athens and its suburbs, caused in part by the deteriorating economy.

Reflecting what is by now conventional wisdom, the World Bank recommended that countries undertake large fiscal stimulus programs to cushion the downturn. The bank itself has committed up to $100 billion in aid to developing countries over three years.

If there is a silver lining amid the gloom, it is the relief that lower food and fuel prices mean for poorer countries. While the prices of almost all commodities have fallen sharply since July, they remain higher than in the 1990s, which the bank says should prevent future supply shortages.

As the World Bank’s experts struggled to find a historical analog for the slump, they said it had more in common with the Depression of the 1930s than with the severe recessions of the 1970s or 1980s.

“It is not just a supply shock,” Mr. Timmer said. “It is not just a reduction in demand, but it is the lack of availability of credit.”

Deutsche Bank, in a forecast issued this week, was even more pessimistic. It said global growth would drop to 0.2 percent in 2009, with the United States, Europe, and Japan in recessions of roughly equal severity.

China, which grew 11.9 percent in 2007, will slow to 7 percent next year, the bank projects, and 6.6 percent in 2010, when the rest of the world is slowly recovering. “It’s not going to be the spark that reignites global demand,” said Thomas Mayer, the chief European economist for Deutsche Bank. “We’re almost in an air pocket, where we don’t have a new global driver of growth.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/10/business/worldbusiness/10global.html?em

Spreading the Gospel: An Effort to Promote Entrepreneurship

The non-profit group Endeavor provides entrepreneurs in emerging economies with valuable advice, support system.

The Economist

Published: July 31, 2008

EARLIER this year Mario Chady faced a crucial decision. Having built up Spoleto, his chain of casual Italian restaurants, to 150 outlets in Brazil, and opened in Mexico and Spain, the time had come for Mr Chady, based in Rio de Janeiro, to choose between expanding into America or putting the idea on hold for at least 18 months. To help make up his mind, he asked for help from an organisation called Endeavor, which had chosen him as a potential “high-impact entrepreneur” in 2003.

Endeavor is a non-profit group based in New York dedicated to promoting entrepreneurship in emerging economies. It had already supplied three teams of students from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology to help Mr Chady craft a strategy for America. But as he spoke to members of the Endeavor network, ranging from leading Brazilian business tycoons to fellow up-and-coming entrepreneurs, he became convinced that it was the right strategy but the wrong time. Mr Chady decided to concentrate on expanding even faster in Brazil, and leave America for later. “The US economy is not at a very good stage, whereas Brazil is very hot now. Endeavor helped me see this,” he says.

It is routine for entrepreneurs to consult their networks of mentors in Silicon Valley. But in much of the world, such networks are notable by their absence—and so, too, are examples of Silicon Valley-style successful entrepreneurship. Changing this was why Endeavor was created in 1997.

“Why can’t the next Silicon Valley pop up in Cairo or São Paulo or Johannesburg?” asks Linda Rottenberg, who co-founded Endeavor with Peter Kellner, a venture capitalist. Fresh from Yale, she was working in Buenos Aires for Ashoka, an organisation that supports social entrepreneurs—people with innovative, usually non-profit ideas for solving social problems—and concluded that ordinary entrepreneurs needed a similar support system. Much of the difference between countries such as America, where entrepreneurship thrives, and those where it does not is cultural rather than regulatory, she believes. In many emerging economies, business tends to be dominated by a closed elite hostile to new entrepreneurs—and failure is stigmatised, rather than being a badge of honour, as it is in Silicon Valley.

The making of a start-up

Getting Endeavor started required some classic start-up doggedness of its own. At first, the philanthropic foundations Ms Rottenberg courted regarded the project as too elitist. “They complained that we were only trying to build a middle class, not to help the poor, despite all the academic evidence that a strong middle class is essential to prosperity,” she recalls. Eventually Stephan Schmidheiny, a Swiss industrialist who has given away a large chunk of his fortune in Latin America, was persuaded to provide some seed capital, and Endeavor was up and running, initially in Argentina and Chile. Today it operates in 11 countries, including South Africa, Turkey and, most recently, Jordan.

Endeavor’s magic works most powerfully in its selection process. Entrepreneurs are screened first by a national panel of successful businessmen, and then, if they are short-listed, by an international panel. So far over 18,000 entrepreneurs have been screened but fewer than 400 have been chosen. The aim is to identify those who can succeed on a scale that will make them into national role models, and then provide them with every possible support. But the process is designed to benefit all entrants, by helping them define their visions more clearly.

Endeavor’s national boards are rosters of leading tycoons—the founders of InBev in Brazil, Jennifer Oppenheimer in South Africa and Lorenzo Zambrano, boss of Cemex, in Mexico, for example. The international board, chaired by Edgar Bronfman Jr, boss of Warner Music, is even more august. At a selection meeting in Turkey in June, the panel included Daniel Och, a hedge-fund boss, Naguib Sawiris of Egypt’s Orascom Telecom, Brian Swette, the chairman of Burger King, and Ali Koç of Koç Holdings. “It is a lot of fun. You go to all these nice places in the world, find all these young enthusiastic people, who you get to help. Sometimes you invest, maybe make some money,” says Ali Mehmet Babaoglu, a Turkish textile tycoon.

Once the selection process is over, these business figures then become mentors to the entrepreneurs. “Endeavor’s genius has been to get the establishment in these countries together, not to kill these entrepreneurial companies but to support them,” says Bill Sahlman, a professor at Harvard Business School who was recruited as an adviser early on.

Endeavor’s entrepreneurs—who collectively now control companies with combined revenues of $2.4 billion and 91,000 employees, earning on average ten times the minimum wage in their country—rarely say they would not have succeeded without Endeavor. But they all believe they got bigger much sooner thanks to its endorsement and support. Leonardo Shapiro of VeriFone, a maker of online credit-card payment systems, describes as “priceless” the advice he got from Pedro Aspe, a former finance minister of Mexico, before he flew to meet a potential American buyer of his firm, and the legal help Endeavor arranged from White & Case, which although not pro bono “was at a very interesting discount, and pay it when you can.”

One of Endeavor’s earliest successes was Wenceslao Casares, who sold Patagon, his Argentine internet brokerage, to Banco Santander for $705m at the peak of the dotcom bubble. He believes Endeavor has started to change cultural attitudes in the countries where it has been active for a while, mostly in Latin America. “When I said I was going to start a business, it was against everyone’s advice, from my family to my university,” he says. “Now, go to the same university and the same professors will tell you that one of their goals is to produce good entrepreneurs.”

Brazil is perhaps most vibrant of all. Endeavor’s successes include Leila Velez, who grew up in a favela and whose beauty salon firm, Beleza Natural, now has revenues of $30m, and Bento Koike, whose wind-turbine-blade manufacturing firm, Tecsis, recently struck a $1 billion deal to supply mighty General Electric.

Going global

Endeavor has “created islands of hope,” says Mr Casares. Now it must find ways to “change continents, not just little islands.” This has been recognised by Endeavor’s global board, which recently adopted an ambitious plan to expand to 25 countries by 2015. Endeavor is confident that it now knows how to adapt its model to new countries, having learnt from early stumbles in Chile, South Africa and Turkey. Fadi Ghandour, the Jordanian boss of Aramex, a logistics firm, believes there is much potential in the Arab world, which is full of young would-be entrepreneurs who have “discovered the new thing, that it pays to have an idea, not rely on land or investing.”

Funding has long been a problem for Endeavor. As a non-profit, it has to rely on donors—many recruited through a glitzy annual gala in New York—which has been tough at times, as in the months after the terrorist attacks of September 11th 2001. Would it make more sense to be a for-profit operation? Endeavor has struggled constantly with whether to pursue profits, but each time has concluded no, says Ms Rottenberg, who also says she declined the chance to set up a $100m fund focused on emerging-market entrepreneurs. “If Endeavor had been an investor, rather than an independent, objective, non-profit enabler, it would not have been trusted by the business elite, or the entrepreneurs,” she insists. “Trust is everything.”

Happily, Endeavor has high hopes of moving onto a stronger financial footing. In some countries where it operates, starting with Brazil, successful entrepreneurs are signing up to a “give back” programme, donating 2% of their equity to Endeavor. With luck this could soon make the national operations self-sustaining. Moreover, on July 31st Omidyar Network, the philanthropic organisation set up by Pierre Omidyar, who made his money in Silicon Valley by founding eBay, announced a $10m investment to build up the capacity of Endeavor’s global operations. “Endeavor is already having a significant impact,” says Matt Bannick, managing partner at Omidyar Network. “Given capital, it could grow rapidly.” Watch this space.

http://www.economist.com/research/articlesBySubject/displaystory.cfm?subjectid=348915&story_id=11848444

Micro-Entrepreneurs the Real Face of Pakistan

Micro-entrepreneurs in Pakistan recognized for their success, contributions to economic sustainability.

Pakistan Observer
Staff Writer
Published: December 2, 2008

Islamabad—The micro entrepreneurs are the real face of Pakistan and their dynamism and resilience is truly inspirational and gives hope that collectively as a nation we can succeed and overcome diversity. This was stated by Shaukat Tarin, Advisor to Prime Minister on Finance, Revenue, Statistics and Economic Affairs at the 5th Citi-PPAF Micro entrepreneurship Awards 2008 ceremony at a local hotel in Islamabad on Monday. CEO/MD Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund Kamal Hyat, Citi Country Officer/MD Arif Usmani, micr oentrepreneurs, representatives from microfinance institutions and senior executives of PPAF and Citibank were also present on the occasion.


Shaukat Tarin said that the country was faced with numerous challenges on the economic front emanating mainly from a precarious global situation on the one hand and structural and domestic in nature on the other. “Our first priority is to take decisive action top restore growth momentum and macroeconomic stability. We are fully cognizant of the fact that there are accumulated twin imbalances of trade and fiscal deficit6s that need substantial judgment,” Shaukat Tarin said.

The Advisor to Prime Minister said that it is a matter of great satisfaction that PPAF has played the catalytic role over the last eight years in developing the microfinance sector as well as providing non-financial services such as water, infrastructure, health and education at the grass roots. As a market developer and single largest financier, he said PPAF has driven the sector enabling its partner organizations to scale up their operations. “Undoubtedly, in PPAF, the Government of Pakistan has a key partner as its takes its poverty reduction strategy forward,” Shaukat Tarin commented.

Ms. Sahibzaadi of Mitiari (Sindh) was declared “Best Female Entrepreneur” while Abdul Rehman (of AJK) “Best Male Entrepreneur”. Ms. Taj Bibi (Quetta), Ms. Mahira Bibi (Chitral), Shabbir Ahmed (Narowal) and Ms. Safia Ali (Quetta) were declared “Best Regional Entrepreneurs”. Runners up in each category were also awarded with case prizes.

A distinguished national advisory council comprising well reputed persons and senior financial experts oversaw the program and an independent jury of eminent professionals selected the recipients of the Best National Microentrepreneur (Male & Female) and four provincial categories with one runner up for each category. Special recognition awards were also given to loan officers and representatives of microfinance organizations.

In 2006 and 2007, Citi-PPAF Microentrepreneurship Awards program in Pakistan exceeded its established goals and achieved as over 800 microfinance institutions participated in the program, 40 microentrepreneurs and as many loan officers across the country won awards and generated huge media interest and were widely covered in print and electronic media.

The objective of the Citi-PPAF Microentrepreneurship Awards 2008 is to illustrate and promote the effective role that microfinance plays in poverty alleviation around the world. The programme seeks to generate recognition for extraordinary contributions that individual microentrepreneurs have made to economic sustainability of their families as well as their communities in 27 countries across the globe.

This Citi-PPAF Microentreprenurship Awards program has been instituted to recognize and honor leadership, entrepreneurial skills and best practices of individual microentrepreneurs in Pakistan. The goal of the awards program is to encourage and support best practices among both microentrepreneurs and microfinance institutions throughout Pakistan and to draw public and government attention to the important role that microfinance plays in promoting economic development at the local level. PPAF is a premier financier of microfinance in Pakistan and is the major instrumental in driving growth and expansion of microcredit. It holds almost 50 per of total market share of microfinance sector in Pakistan. Citi and PPAF have been collaborating to organize the awards program since 2006. Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) across Pakistan are encouraged to nominate clients who have exhibited excellence in areas such as loan repayment, business growth, employment growth, and impact on the community.

PPAF is committed to enhancing economic opportunities for underserved individuals and families in the communities. Microfinance helps individuals become economically self-sufficient through sustainable enterprises that generate jobs and stimulate economic growth while preserving the environment.

It is the lead institution for poverty-focused interventions in the country. Set up as a fully autonomous private sector institution, PPAF enjoys facilitation and support from the Government of Pakistan, the World Bank and five leading multinational bilateral and international corporate. The outreach of PPAF now extends throughout Pakistan and its microcredit, community physical infrastructure, drought mitigation, education, health and capacity building interventions have expanded all over the country. PPAF today is the largest World Bank-supported programme of its kind in the world. Cumulatively, since 2000, PPAF has partnered with 72 organizations working in 33,500 villages and 117 districts across the country.

http://pakobserver.net/200812/02/news/business04.asp

New Approach to Job Issues for Youth

Report urges support for entrepreneurship and skill formation in Africa.

The Citizen Newspaper (Tanzania)

Victor Karega
Published: December 6, 2008

The World Bank has urged African countries to design a new approach to overcome growing unemployment among the continent's youth.

The call is contained in the bank's African Development Indicators (ADI) report for 2008/09 released worldwide yesterday.

The ADI report, with the theme "Youth and Employment in Africa; Potential, Problems and Promise" urges that African countries extend job and education alternatives in the rural areas to help the youths take off in life.

The continent also needs to encourage and support entrepreneurship, improve access and quality of skills formation and address rising demographic pressures, it reads in part.

Job creation pressures in Africa will continue as the continent's population keeps growing. it said, noting that youths account for 18 per cent of the world's population today.

"Youths number 1.2 billion in absolute terms but of these, 87 per cent live in developing countries," it elaborated.

Shanta Devarajan, the bank's economic counsellor for the Africa region, said one way of solving youth unemployment in Africa is to make sure that life in rural areas is improved to stem rural urban migration.

http://thecitizen.co.tz/newe.php?id=9160

The "Cheetah Generation" That is Making Kenya Tick

Recent awards highlight the importance of skilled entrepreneurs in promoting economic growth.

Business Daily Africa
Sarah Kaniaya
Published: November 25, 2008


Members of Kenya’s “Cheetah generation” were honoured for the first time on October 3, 2008 when KPMG and Nation Media Group feted Kenya’s Top 100 fastest growing mid-sized companies. Each company received a trophy with a delicately engraved cheetah on its glass centrepiece.

What’s so special about the cheetah one might ask? The cheetah is one of the fastest animals on earth. Further, as a tourist attraction, it generates revenue.

The cheetah analogy is rapidly gaining popularity. Ghanaian Economist George Ayitteh, business professor, Vijay Mahajan (author of the book Africa Rising) and entrepreneurship researcher Zoltan Acs, are amongst the distinguished intellectuals that have used it.

George Ayitteh says that Africa is influenced by two generations. On one hand, there is the cheetah generation, composed of pro-active Africans, who do not wait for the government to do things for them. Rather, through hard work and perseverance, they use the resources and opportunities available to them to create wealth. On the other hand, there is the “hippo generation” — the ruling elite.

The hippo moves slowly. History shows that African leaders have been painfully slow in enacting beneficial economic reforms. Rather than work hard for the benefit of their people, many grow fat through greed and corruption.

That notwithstanding, delays in enacting progressive reforms can also be attributed to the lack of reliable information on Africa’s growth companies.

This is why Kenya’s Top 100 mid-sized companies’ survey seeks not just to celebrate Kenya’s “cheetah generation”, but also to bridge the information gap on Africa’s growth companies. In carrying out this survey, KPMG Kenya was following the cue of its European counterparts who have in the past sponsored “Europe’s 500.”

The latter survey focuses on fast growing European SMEs and places special emphasis on their contribution to job creation. Companies are ranked using the Birch index, named after the small business research pioneer, David Birch. Birch found that rapidly growing firms (which he named “gazelles”) are responsible for most employment growth.

In June 2008, leading entrepreneurship researcher, Professor Zoltan Acs of George Washington University published a paper entitled High Impact Firms, Gazelles Revisited.

This research revisits and expands on Birches’ research. It is instructive that this research was funded by the US Government’s Small Business Administration Office of Advocacy — the “voice of small business in government.”

The research findings suggest that “local economic development officials would benefit from recognising the value of cultivating high-growth firms versus trying to increase entrepreneurship overall or trying to attract relocating companies.”

Another key finding is that “nearly all the job losses in the US economy over the 12 years covered by the study are by low impact companies with more than 500 employees.” (In this context low impact refers to contribution to employment growth). Put simply, big businesses do not necessarily offer better job security even in developed countries like the US.

Good time

Kenya recently observed the Global Entrepreneurship Week. This is a good time as any for the country’s policymakers to pause and ask themselves, “Where can entrepreneurship development funds have the greatest economic impact?” Is it in nurturing numerous micro and small enterprises whose owners, (through no fault of their own), lack the skills to upscale? Or should more attention be paid to cultivating high growth companies?

At the end of 2007, the total number employed by the 416 companies that took part in the Kenya Top 100 mid-sized companies’ survey was 49,696. Of this number, 22, 575 jobs were created in 2005-2007, representing a leap of 83 per cent (See the table).

Further, as the chart shows, 76 per cent of these companies indicated that they were likely to increase their staff numbers in the next 12 months. However this was before the global economic crisis started unfolding.

Billions of dollars have been used to facilitate the creation of micro enterprises in Africa and elsewhere. The importance of microfinance in alleviating poverty is not in question — a Nobel Prize was awarded to one of the pioneers of microfinance in 2006.

We would all rather see our fellow Kenyans engaged in their own micro enterprise than unemployed — a view which reflects the poverty alleviation paradigm. However, under the complimentary wealth creation paradigm, the government and development partners should increasingly seek to nurture growth companies.

Some growth companies can provide jobs that lead to a better livelihood than most micro enterprises ever could. Further, unlike many foreign investors, local investors do not make it a condition that Kenyan wages be amongst the lowest in the world before they can invest in the country.

For the country to achieve appreciable gains in our people’s standards of living, more emphasis needs to be placed on how to foster the creation of “quality” jobs rather than just “any” job. This calls for investment in developing skilled entrepreneurs who will in turn be supported by a skilled workforce.

Nurturing growth companies will therefore include not only heeding SMEs’ frequent calls for a more conducive environment for doing business, but also the allocation of significant funds to research, entrepreneurship and business education. In this way, the country’s “cheetah generation” will be equipped to take Kenya’s micro and small enterprises to the next level.

One notes that the entrepreneurship training programme for the Digital Villages has been delayed due to lack of funds. Perhaps if the “hippo generation” could change their minds and agree to the Finance Minister’s proposal to tax their salaries, this funding shortfall would be met.

Finally, another reason why Kenya’s growth companies deserve attention is the unfolding global economic crisis. Our mid-sized companies need to be positioned to operate in this new economic reality. For example, service providers could facilitate South-South cooperation in technology- transfer initiatives, thus enabling these companies to enhance their innovative capacity for the benefit of their African customers.

http://www.bdafrica.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=11412&Itemid=5880

Control Freaks

Are “randomised evaluations” a better way of doing aid and development policy?

The Economist
Published: June 12, 2008

DOCTORS study diseases from several vantage points. Laboratory scientists peer into microscopes to observe the behaviour of bugs. Epidemiologists track sickness in populations. Drug-company researchers run clinical trials. Economists have traditionally had a smaller toolkit. When studying growth, they put individual countries under the microscope or conduct cross-country macroeconomic studies (a bit like epidemiology). But they had nothing like drug trials. Economic data were based on observation and modelling, not controlled experiment.

That is changing. A tribe of economists, most from Harvard University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), have begun to champion the latest thing in development economics: “randomised evaluations” in which different policies—to boost school attendance, say—are tested by randomly assigning them to different groups. In one celebrated example, researchers looked at what happened in 20 antenatal clinics in western Kenya when some gave away insecticide-treated bednets, an anti-malaria therapy, and others sold them for different prices. Their conclusion was that free distribution is far more effective in getting people to use bednets than charging even a nominal sum would be.

Such trials are not unprecedented in economics. America's welfare reform of 1996 was based partly on controlled experiments. But they have been rare enough for today's upsurge to count as a revolution in thinking about development. Last year the Spanish government gave the World Bank €10m ($16m)—the institution's largest trust fund—to spend on evaluating projects. The fund's first criterion calls for randomised trials. This will spread their influence further. But are such trials all they are cracked up to be? Randomistas recently gathered at the Brookings Institution, a think-tank in Washington, DC, to discuss that.

Randomised evaluations are a good way to answer microeconomic questions such as how to get girls to go to school, and teachers to turn up for work. They cannot tell you much about macro questions like the right exchange-rate or budget policy. But often, they provide information that could be got in no other way. To take bednets: supporters of distributing free benefits say that only this approach can spread the use of nets quickly enough to eradicate malaria. Supporters of charging retort that cost-sharing is necessary to establish a reliable system of supply and because people value what they pay for. Both ideas sound plausible and there was no way of telling in advance who was right. But the trial clearly showed how people behave.

So evidence from randomised trials is good. But is it better than other economic data? That is what many randomistas believe. Abhijit Banerjee, the co-founder of the Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Laboratory (JPAL), argues that “the quality of the evidence that informs much of the macro-growth debates is significantly worse than the quality of the data that bears on many of the micro-policy questions”. He adds: “The beauty of randomised evaluations is that the results are what they are.” In other words, they provide hard evidence, resting on a solid empirical base. Aid and development policy, concludes Mr Banerjee, should take more account of that evidence.

But is the evidence really incontrovertible? On its own terms, yes. As Mr Banerjee says, the evidence is what it is. But policymakers do not want to know whether something works in a few villages. They want to know whether it will work nationwide. Here, randomised trials may not be quite so helpful.

Go back to the bednets once more. You might conclude that the trial showed that they should always be given away. Yet it turns out that millions of nets were already in use in the part of Kenya where the field trial took place, so their value was known. The experiment guaranteed supplies, so it did not test the assertion that you need to charge something to encourage reliable suppliers. And the recipients were pregnant women, whereas the point of giving bednets away is to provide anti-malaria treatment universally. The evidence from western Kenya was clear. But it hardly settled the question of whether the government should give bednets away across the country. Questions like that may still have to be made on the basis of the soft evidence that randomistas turn up their noses at.

Randomistas rule?

Mr Banerjee doubts whether randomistas and other development economists will ever get along. The differences over research methods and what counts as evidence are too great. Economists do not know enough about growth, he says, to justify their obsession with it, however important it may be. Following the law of comparative advantage, they should do much more of what can be done best—randomised testing.

But given doubts about how widely applicable such tests are, it may be better to think of them not as a new, superior form of development economics but as one more technique—admittedly a useful one—for finding out what works, filling in gaps in knowledge, testing policy ideas, and puncturing conventional wisdom. Dani Rodrik of Harvard University argues that differences in research methods between randomistas and other economists are in danger of re-opening a split between macro- and micro-economists that is starting to heal.

Over the past few years, he claims, both groups have converged on a more experimental approach to development, eschewing lists of standard prescriptions and stressing the importance of context. That approach may be bearing fruit. It would be a shame if triumphalist claims by randomistas were to limit their contribution to it.

http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11535592

Will Entrepreneurs Save the World?

Entrepreneurship's critical role in discovering solutions to social problems.

U.S. News and World Report
Matthew Bandyk
Published: July 08, 2008

There's a big discussion going on about the role of government and capitalism in addressing social ills like poverty and disease, and it's a discussion where I think entrepreneurs, even small-time ones, can play a critical role. Creative Capitalism is a blog where some brilliant minds are talking about Bill Gates's argument, made at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, that philanthropy alone can't solve the world's problems. Free-market capitalism is also required. Many of the responses are hopeful and optimistic about capitalists' role in promoting social good, but we also hear skepticism from former Secretary of Labor Robert Reich, who writes of a "false hope in the private sector."

This reminds me of an interview I did with John Kao last year about his book Innovation Nation. He made a number of interesting points about how America is losing its status as leader in producing innovative technologies. But what surprised me was how much he measured America's commitment to innovate based on how much the federal government is doing, ignoring the private sector.

That's why I found this entry in the discussion by Abhijit Banerjee, an economist at MIT, so interesting. He explains how when it comes to finding innovative solutions to social ills, the social sector—nonprofit organizations, NGOs, etc.—have the on-the-ground, local knowledge that government lacks. But this sector can't fund itself. For that, it needs finance from entrepreneurs who can identify where their money can do the most good.

The remarkable thing about governments is how little they have changed organizationally over the last one hundred years despite the amazing progress we have seen in technology and the substantial, though less remarkable, progress made by the social sciences.

Definitely read Banerjee's example of how the World Health Organization's protocol for dealing with tuberculosis was completely outmoded and how a group of researchers at MIT's Jameel Poverty Action Lab—funded by entrepreneur Mohammed Jameel—found a better way to keep TB patients on schedule with their medication.

So entrepreneurs of the world, be fruitful and multiply your profits—but also give them out to the organizations you find worthy. The solutions for countless social problems can be found in that money. Don't wait for governments to take care of things for you.

http://www.usnews.com/blogs/risky-business/2008/7/8/will-entrepreneurs-save-the-world.html